Arkham ARKM
ARKM cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
66.8% below its 365-day high of $0.3860 (2025-10-27), +49.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +49.1% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0860 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6.5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.0860 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 19%
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dg 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0928 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.1090 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1426
- Cycle-low confidence
- 44% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 23
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.1090 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.1090 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50%
- Confirmed lows
- 158
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.086 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6.5. Cycle-low confidence 19%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.09283 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.109 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1426. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.109 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Amber List: 67% below the 2025-10-27 high; +49% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +49% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.1159).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.10 (neutral); -95% from the all-time high.
Has Arkham bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ARKM snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0860 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0928 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1090 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1426, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1090 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Arkham below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 66.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3860 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -96.8% relative to its all-time high of $3.98 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.87 · May 2024
- Trough
- $0.0860 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -97.0% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +49.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1200
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (5 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.0920 · Mar 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0928 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.1159
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 5.07 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.4 x | 12.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 308 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.6 yrs | 5.9 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $94.2M
- Fully diluted
- $132.1M
- 24h volume
- $4.8M
- Circulating
- 713,140,638 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $3.98 · 2024-03-09 (-96.8%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.096 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.393
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-04-02 (933 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- arkham
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources