ShapeShift FOX FOX
FOX cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
75.8% below its 365-day high of $0.0219 (2025-10-23), +45.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
76% below its rolling 365-day high, 363 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +45.2% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.00365 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 6 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.00365 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 28% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0044 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.00493 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00561
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 45
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dg 3r 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00493 · 2026-10-19 (daily)
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 23)
- Current low
- $0.00493 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 18%
- Confirmed lows
- 293
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00365 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0044 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.00493 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00561. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00493 (2026-10-19), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 18%.
- Amber List: 76% below the 2025-10-23 high; +45% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +45% above the trough; pullback #4 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.04 (neutral); -84% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has ShapeShift FOX bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FOX snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00365 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0044 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00493 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00561, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00493 from 2026-10-19. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is ShapeShift FOX below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 75.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0219 from 2025-10-23. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.7% relative to its all-time high of $1.65 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.1598 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.00365 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -97.7% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +45.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00467
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (6 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #4 low $0.0044 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00539
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.63 % | 0.4 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.24 x | 13.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1768 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.9 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $4.7M
- Fully diluted
- $5.9M
- 24h volume
- $29.7K
- Circulating
- 805,242,738 of 1,000,001,337 max
- All-time high
- $1.65 · 2021-04-05 (-99.7%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.037 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -83.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.325
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-12-07 (1780 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- shapeshift-fox-token
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources