Crypto bottom indicator: what confirms a swing low?
No indicator can establish in advance that the final bear-market bottom is in. This tracker answers a narrower, testable question: has price confirmed a swing low on the daily, weekly or monthly chart?
Published by Crypto Cycle Tracker. Calculation methodology and data coverage.
The exact confirmation rule
A potential low confirms only when a later bar takes out the high of the bar that made the low before any bar undercuts that low. A higher low alone does not confirm it. Neither does an inside bar. The takeout can occur on the next bar or after several inside bars; the level to watch remains the high of the low bar.
A worked example
Suppose a weekly bar trades between $80 and $100. A later bar with a low of $85 and a high of $98 remains inside that range: no confirmation. If a subsequent bar exceeds $100 without the $80 low being undercut first, the $80 swing low confirms. A break below $80 first invalidates that candidate. These illustrative prices are not a coin forecast.
Current cycle readings
2026-09-21 UTC · 15 coins shownMarket regime: Advancing. Snapshot generated 2026-09-21T12:17:56+00:00; blue-chip overlay 2026-09-21T13:49:00+00:00. Forming bars can change.
On smaller screens, scroll the table horizontally to compare every column.
| Coin | Monthly last confirmed low | Weekly last confirmed low | Daily last confirmed low |
|---|---|---|---|
BTCBitcoin
| $57,718 · 2026-07-31 | $74,888 · 2026-09-20 | $80,085 · 2026-09-20 |
ETHEthereum
| $1,505 · 2026-06-30 | $2,357 · 2026-09-20 | $2,564 · 2026-09-20 |
BNBBNB
| $536.71 · 2026-07-31 | $674.41 · 2026-09-06 | $745.92 · 2026-09-20 |
XRPXRP
| $1.91 · 2025-06-30 | $1.25 · 2026-09-20 | $1.37 · 2026-09-20 |
SOLSolana
| $70.51 · 2026-08-31 | $95.71 · 2026-09-20 | $107.34 · 2026-09-20 |
ZECZcash
| $250.00 · 2026-06-30 | $465.72 · 2026-08-16 | $1,428 · 2026-09-20 |
HYPEHyperliquid
| $51.10 · 2026-08-31 | $75.11 · 2026-09-20 | $89.62 · 2026-09-20 |
DOGEDogecoin
| $0.0799 · 2026-02-28 | $0.0783 · 2026-09-20 | $0.0843 · 2026-09-20 |
LINKChainlink
| $7.00 · 2026-06-30 | $10.61 · 2026-09-20 | $11.91 · 2026-09-20 |
ADACardano
| $0.1381 · 2026-06-30 | $0.1901 · 2026-09-20 | $0.2182 · 2026-09-20 |
XLMStellar
| $0.1361 · 2026-02-28 | $0.1724 · 2026-09-20 | $0.1885 · 2026-09-20 |
BCHBitcoin Cash
| $180.15 · 2026-06-30 | $212.78 · 2026-09-20 | $243.00 · 2026-09-20 |
AVAXAvalanche
| $6.04 · 2026-08-31 | $7.17 · 2026-09-20 | $7.17 · 2026-09-16 |
LTCLitecoin
| $39.21 · 2026-06-30 | $50.11 · 2026-09-20 | $56.49 · 2026-09-20 |
DOTPolkadot
| $0.7238 · 2026-08-31 | $0.9340 · 2026-09-20 | $1.07 · 2026-09-20 |
Last confirmed lows are historical observations; a newer candidate may be forming. Open a coin for pending levels, bar status and the chart.
Has Bitcoin or Ethereum bottomed?
Open the coin's analysis and compare its latest potential low with its last confirmed low on each timeframe. A historical confirmed low may still be displayed while a newer, unconfirmed low is forming. Monthly confirmation carries a different timeframe from daily confirmation; neither guarantees that a later decline cannot make a lower low.
Why a deep drawdown is not a bottom signal
An asset can remain far below its high while it continues falling. Phoenix first requires a deep, sustained decline and then a confirmed weekly or monthly swing low. The separate fundamentals panel helps expose liquidity, dilution and usage limitations that a price pattern cannot answer.
How to interpret confidence and breadth
Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score built from decline magnitude and timing, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade. Breadth asks how widespread the observed structure is across the included universe. Broad confirmation gives context to a market read, but the population is Coinbase-listed coins, not the entire crypto market.
What would change the answer?
Watch the pending high-takeout level, whether the candidate low is undercut, and the next completed bars. Forming bars can change. A confirmed pattern is a recorded structural event, not a promise of future returns. Check the snapshot date and recorded timeline when returning to the page.
Sources and limitations
The calculations described here follow this site's published methodology: Coinbase Exchange candles, CoinGecko market data, and DefiLlama protocol data. Coverage is limited to the analyzed Coinbase USD universe. Missing fundamentals are not scored as zero. Signals describe observed structure and are not forecasts or investment recommendations.