Layer 1 · rank #19 · blue chip

Stellar XLM

$0.1867-0.5% 1d+5.3% 7d+13.6% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 70.4 bullish lean

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1361 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (Sep 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1524 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2226. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
  • Watch: 55% below the 2025-09-13 high; +37% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 79% decline over 15 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +37% above the trough; pullback #5 confirmed 2026-09-07.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.07 (neutral); +0% vs the 200-week average; -75% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.089710.2240.55952024-102025-092026-09peak 0.639low 0.1361 (79%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.1855

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
3g 1r 2Dr 3g 1g
Confirmed low
$0.1361 · 2026-02-28
Position
7 of median 5 (max 12)
Current low
$0.1361 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
85% · in band
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 3g 1r 2Dg 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.1713 · 2026-09-06
Position
1 of median 5.0 (max 16)
Current low
$0.1524 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2226
Cycle-low odds
59% · in band
Confirmed lows
55

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Ug 1r 1g 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.1713 · 2026-09-02 (weekly)
Position
5 of median 5 (max 24)
Current low
$0.1713 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
26% · in band
Confirmed lows
386

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.6390 · Nov 2024
Trough
$0.1361 · Feb 2026
Decline
-78.7% over 15 months
Above trough
+37.1%
Monthly
confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.1855
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.2000 · Apr 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #5 low $0.1713 confirmed 2026-09-07 · trigger $0.1882
Score 70.4
decline24.4
confirmation25
earliness6.0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip5

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health45 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
2.06 %5.2 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.44 x11.7 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
19 #12 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
13920.4 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
25.99 x0.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
7.2 %5.7 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
6.0 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$6.49B
Fully diluted
$9.33B
24h volume
$133.5M
Circulating
34,802,055,413
All-time high
$0.8756 · 2018-01-02 (-78.7%)
TVL
$249.7M (chain)
Fees 30d
$38.3K
Revenue 30d
$38.3K
Fees 1y
$645.9K
Mayer multiple
1.068 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
+0.4%
Pi cycle
0.441
On Coinbase since
2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
CoinGecko id
stellar