
Layer 1 · rank #19 · blue chip
Stellar XLM
$0.1867-0.5% 1d+5.3% 7d+13.6% 30d
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 70.4 bullish lean
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1361 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (Sep 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1524 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2226. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
- Watch: 55% below the 2025-09-13 high; +37% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 79% decline over 15 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +37% above the trough; pullback #5 confirmed 2026-09-07.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.07 (neutral); +0% vs the 200-week average; -75% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 3g 1r 2Dr 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1361 · 2026-02-28
- Position
- 7 of median 5 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.1361 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 1r 2Dg 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.1713 · 2026-09-06
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.1524 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2226
- Cycle-low odds
- 59% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 55
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 1g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.1713 · 2026-09-02 (weekly)
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.1713 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 26% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 386
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.6390 · Nov 2024
- Trough
- $0.1361 · Feb 2026
- Decline
- -78.7% over 15 months
- Above trough
- +37.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.1855
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.2000 · Apr 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #5 low $0.1713 confirmed 2026-09-07 · trigger $0.1882
Score 70.4
| decline | 24.4 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 5 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health45 / 100 · Thin
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.06 % | 5.2 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.44 x | 11.7 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 19 # | 12 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 13920.4 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 25.99 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 7.2 % | 5.7 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $6.49B
- Fully diluted
- $9.33B
- 24h volume
- $133.5M
- Circulating
- 34,802,055,413
- All-time high
- $0.8756 · 2018-01-02 (-78.7%)
- TVL
- $249.7M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $38.3K
- Revenue 30d
- $38.3K
- Fees 1y
- $645.9K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.068 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +0.4%
- Pi cycle
- 0.441
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- stellar