XRP XRP
XRP cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held mixed
52.5% below its 365-day high of $2.70 (2025-10-27), +29.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-24 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 3g 1g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.91 · 2025-06-30
- Position
- 16 of median 5 (max 32)
- Current low
- $0.9873 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.70
- Cycle-low confidence
- 27%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Dr 2Dr 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.25 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 137)
- Current low
- $1.25 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.42
- Cycle-low confidence
- 42% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 38
Daily
- Last bars
- 3g 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $1.28 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 4 of median 5.0 (max 20)
- Current low
- $1.27 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.29
- Cycle-low confidence
- 52%
- Confirmed lows
- 241
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.91 (Jun 2025), month 16 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.9873 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.70. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.25 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 1.25 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.42. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 1.28 (2026-10-20), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 1.27 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.29. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
- Red List: 52% below the 2025-10-27 high; +30% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.00 (neutral); -64% from the all-time high.
Has XRP bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the XRP snapshot records on 2026-10-24 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.91 from 2025-06-30. A newer candidate at $0.9873 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.70, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.25 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $1.25 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.42, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $1.28 from 2026-10-20. A newer candidate at $1.27 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.29, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is XRP below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 52.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.70 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -64.9% relative to its all-time high of $3.65 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List → Red List
- Watch → Amber List
- First observed: Watch
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.15 % | 2.2 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.58 x | 10.6 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 5 # | 15 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 3553153696.5 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 3028248.41 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -9.2 % | 4.1 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $93.83B
- Fully diluted
- $148.70B
- 24h volume
- $1.08B
- Circulating
- 63,092,975,951 of 100,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $3.65 · 2025-07-17 (-64.9%)
- TVL
- $31.0K (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $2
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- $8.7K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.002 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.428
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-08-31 (1342 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- ripple
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources