
Layer 1 · rank #2 · blue chip
Ethereum ETH
$2,503-0.4% 1d+1.5% 7d+30.7% 30d
Phoenix · monthly · score 49.8 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,505 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,820 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 2,355 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2,547. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2,355 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
- Phoenix: 70% decline over 10 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +66% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.23 (neutral); -0% vs the 200-week average; -48% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $1,505 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 8 (max 14)
- Current low
- $1,505 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 43% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1,820 · 2026-08-02
- Position
- 6 of median 4 (max 22)
- Current low
- $2,355 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $2,547
- Cycle-low odds
- 22% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 58
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 1g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $2,355 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 20)
- Current low
- $2,355 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 35% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 405
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4,956 · Aug 2025
- Trough
- $1,505 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -69.6% over 10 months
- Above trough
- +66.3%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $2,018
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (11 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $1,820 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $1,979
Score 49.8
| decline | 19.8 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 5 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health64 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.29 % | 9.3 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 2 # | 15 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 2336.8 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 6.16 x | 6.4 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 37.4 % | 8.7 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $305.48B
- Fully diluted
- $305.48B
- 24h volume
- $10.05B
- Circulating
- 122,023,858
- All-time high
- $4,946 · 2025-08-24 (-49.4%)
- TVL
- $49.62B (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $10.7M
- Revenue 30d
- $2.6M
- Fees 1y
- $213.4M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.226 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -0.2%
- Pi cycle
- 0.38
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- ethereum check