Layer 1 · rank #2 · blue chip

Ethereum ETH

$2,503-0.4% 1d+1.5% 7d+30.7% 30d

Phoenix · monthly · score 49.8 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,505 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,820 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 2,355 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2,547. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2,355 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
  • Phoenix: 70% decline over 10 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +66% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.23 (neutral); -0% vs the 200-week average; -48% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
1,5652,7504,8312025-072026-022026-09peak 4,956low 1,505 (70%)monthly trigger 2,018

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$1,505 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 8 (max 14)
Current low
$1,505 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
43% · in band
Confirmed lows
10

Weekly 1

Last bars
1r 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 1r
Confirmed low
$1,820 · 2026-08-02
Position
6 of median 4 (max 22)
Current low
$2,355 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$2,547
Cycle-low odds
22% · in band
Confirmed lows
58

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 1g 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$2,355 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 20)
Current low
$2,355 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
35% · in band
Confirmed lows
405

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$4,956 · Aug 2025
Trough
$1,505 · Jun 2026
Decline
-69.6% over 10 months
Above trough
+66.3%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $2,018
Weekly
confirmed (late (11 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $1,820 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $1,979
Score 49.8
decline19.8
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip5

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health64 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
3.29 %9.3 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
2 #15 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
2336.8 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
6.16 x6.4 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
37.4 %8.7 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
6.0 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$305.48B
Fully diluted
$305.48B
24h volume
$10.05B
Circulating
122,023,858
All-time high
$4,946 · 2025-08-24 (-49.4%)
TVL
$49.62B (chain)
Fees 30d
$10.7M
Revenue 30d
$2.6M
Fees 1y
$213.4M
Mayer multiple
1.226 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-0.2%
Pi cycle
0.38
On Coinbase since
2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
CoinGecko id
ethereum check