The market is early recovery.
Bitcoin has a confirmed low and bullish bars, but breadth hasn't caught up. Leaders first, laggards later.
How this label was reached
| BTC monthly low is fresh | confirmed 2026-07-31, month 2 since | +2 |
| BTC monthly bar bullish | 2U green | +2 |
| BTC above 200-day average | Mayer 1.14 | +1 |
equal-weight, rebalanced daily, base 100 — every coin with a full year of Coinbase history. Total market cap $2.70T, Bitcoin dominance 59.2% (CoinGecko, 2026-09-07).
Blue chips
BTCBitcoin
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 57,718 (Jul 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 7.5. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 62,210 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 13%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 76,219 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 30%.
Phoenix · monthly
ETHEthereum
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,505 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,820 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 2,355 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2,547. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2,355 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
Phoenix · monthly
BNBBNB
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 536.71 (Jul 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 3.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 555.10 (Jul 2026), week 8 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 67%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 674.41 (2026-09-01), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 30%.
Phoenix · monthly
XRPXRP
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.91 (Jun 2025), month 15 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.9873 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.70. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.05 (Jul 2026), week 8 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.9873 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.70. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.31 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
Watch
SOLSolana
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 60.11 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 70.51 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 97.33 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 37%.
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly
ZECZcash
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 250.00 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 465.72 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 788.14 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
Phoenix · monthly
HYPEHyperliquid
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 51.10 (Aug 2026).
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 51.10 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 55%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 80.12 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
DOGEDogecoin
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.07991 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.06762 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1009. Cycle-low confidence 67%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.06762 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.08009 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 18%.
Amber List Phoenix · weekly
LINKChainlink
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 7.00 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Cycle-low confidence 31%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 7.88 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 10.91 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 29%.
Phoenix · monthly
ADACardano
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1381 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1533 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1711 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2587. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2092 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly
XLMStellar
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1361 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (Sep 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1524 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2226. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly
BCHBitcoin Cash
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 180.15 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 199.62 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 244.89 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly
LTCLitecoin
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 39.21 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 43.33 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 47.45 (2026-08-30), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly
AVAXAvalanche
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 7.53 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 5.68 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 9.06. Cycle-low confidence 38%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 6.11 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 7.04 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
Amber List Phoenix · weekly
DOTPolkadot
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.15 (Apr 2026), month 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.7238 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.03. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.743 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.7238 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.03. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.8416 (2026-09-04), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
Amber List
Breadth
of 390 coins with enough history, stablecoins and wrappers excludedTop opportunities
Deep decline, confirmed monthly swing low, early in the recovery — then weighed by fundamentals. Ranked by the opportunity score; the entry is always the pullback, never the chase.
| Coin | Tier | Opportunity | Phoenix | Health | Decline | Above low | Entry | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| monthly | 80.5 | 87.5 | 80 | -96.9% | +27.4% | awaiting pullback | |
|
| monthly | 77.7 | 87.5 | 72 | -99.2% | +41.2% | awaiting pullback | |
|
| monthly | 77.0 | 87.5 | 70 | -94.9% | +42.3% | awaiting pullback | |
|
| monthly | 72.5 | 87.5 | 57 | -99.5% | +49.9% | awaiting pullback | |
|
| monthly | 71.9 | 77.5 | 82 | -96.9% | +30.9% | awaiting pullback | |
|
| monthly | 71.8 | 87.5 | 55 | -97.8% | +31.9% | awaiting pullback |
Just broke
| Coin | Tier | Decline | High | Days since | M / W / D | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Watch | -46.4% | 2026-08-14 | 24 | ||
|
| Amber List | -34.9% | 2026-07-27 | 42 | ||
|
| Red List | -82.7% | 2026-07-06 | 63 | ||
|
| Red List | -90.1% | 2026-06-29 | 70 | ||
|
| Red List | -69.2% | 2026-06-23 | 76 | ||
|
| Watch | -58.5% | 2026-06-20 | 79 |