Renzo REZ
REZ cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 77.0 mixed
65.6% below its 365-day high of $0.0111 (2025-10-22), +65.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +65.8% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0023 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 6.5 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.0023 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1g 2Ur 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.00315 · 2026-10-18
- Position
- 1 of median 6 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.00315 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 56% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00315 · 2026-10-18 (weekly)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 27)
- Current low
- $0.00315 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 45%
- Confirmed lows
- 102
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0023 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6.5.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.003149 (Oct 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 56%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.003149 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
- Amber List: 66% below the 2025-10-22 high; +66% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 94% decline over 16 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +66% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-10-21.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.06 (neutral); -87% from the all-time high.
Has Renzo bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the REZ snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0023 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00315 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00315 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Renzo below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 65.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0111 from 2025-10-22. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.6% relative to its all-time high of $0.2782 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0359 · Mar 2025
- Trough
- $0.0023 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -93.6% over 16 months
- Above trough
- +65.8%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.00333
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.00264 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.00315 confirmed 2026-10-21 · trigger $0.00401
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 12.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 13.88 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.08 x | 14.4 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 598 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 14.6 x | 20.0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 0.34 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -8.8 % | 4.1 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.6 yrs | 3.2 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $38.0M
- Fully diluted
- $41.0M
- 24h volume
- $5.3M
- Circulating
- 9,090,423,483 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.2782 · 2024-04-30 (-98.6%)
- TVL
- $112.0M (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $213.9K
- Revenue 30d
- $33.8K
- Fees 1y
- $10.8M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.063 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.394
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-03-06 (595 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- renzo
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources