DeFi · rank #48

Ondo ONDO

$0.3807-1.8% 1d+10.1% 7d+8.2% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 50 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2017 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3211 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.3357 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 23%.
  • Watch: 66% below the 2025-09-12 high; +89% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 91% decline over 14 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +89% above the trough; pullback #5 confirmed 2026-08-23.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.17 (neutral); -81% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.22460.67662.042024-112025-102026-09peak 2.15low 0.2017 (91%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.2976

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 1g 2Ur 1g
Confirmed low
$0.2017 · 2026-02-28
Position
7 of median 5 (max 8)
Current low
$0.2017 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
58% · in band
Confirmed lows
6

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 3g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.3211 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 4.0 (max 17)
Current low
$0.3211 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
43%
Confirmed lows
25

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Ug 1g 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.3357 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5 (max 15)
Current low
$0.3357 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
23% · in band
Confirmed lows
174

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$2.15 · Dec 2024
Trough
$0.2017 · Feb 2026
Decline
-90.6% over 14 months
Above trough
+88.7%
Monthly
confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.2976
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.6630 · Apr 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #5 low $0.3211 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $0.3542
Score 50
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health68 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
6.09 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
2.05 x7.1 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
48 #9 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
2.6 yrs6.1 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$1.85B
Fully diluted
$3.81B
24h volume
$112.9M
Circulating
4,869,330,647 of 10,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$2.14 · 2024-12-15 (-82.2%)
Mayer multiple
1.174 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.436
On Coinbase since
2024-01-22 (960 bars)
CoinGecko id
ondo-finance