Uniswap UNI
UNI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 49.0 mixed
31.1% below its 365-day high of $10.93 (2026-09-23), +225.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules on 2026-10-18. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +225.4% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $2.32 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 7.5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $2.32 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 41% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $3.16 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 10 of median 5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $6.74 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $7.83
- Cycle-low confidence
- 62% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 58
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 2Ug 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $7.08 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 4 (max 21)
- Current low
- $6.78 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 44%
- Confirmed lows
- 418
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.32 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7.5. Cycle-low confidence 41%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 3.16 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 6.74 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 7.83. Cycle-low confidence 62%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 7.08 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Watch: 31% below the 2026-09-23 high; +225% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 88% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +225% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-08-23.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.67 (neutral); +10% vs the 200-week average; -82% from the all-time high.
Has Uniswap bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the UNI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.32 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $3.16 from 2026-08-16. A newer candidate at $6.74 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $7.83, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $7.08 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Uniswap below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 31.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $10.93 from 2026-09-23. Separately, CoinGecko reports -83.2% relative to its all-time high of $44.92 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $19.47 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $2.32 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -88.1% over 18 months
- Above trough
- +225.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $3.72
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $4.55 · Apr 2025 (4 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $3.16 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $4.09
| decline | 29.0 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 9.22 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.42 x | 11.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 23 # | 12 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $5.66B
- Fully diluted
- $8.04B
- 24h volume
- $522.4M
- Circulating
- 625,218,423 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $44.92 · 2021-05-02 (-83.2%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.667 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +10.2%
- Pi cycle
- 0.6
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-09-17 (2226 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- uniswap
Continue your cycle research
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