DeFi · rank #52

Sky SKY

SKY cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0757-0.5% 1d+6.2% 7d+7.4% 30d

Phoenix · monthly · score 30.6 bullish lean

25.8% below its 365-day high of $0.1020 (2026-10-05), +87.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.041770.063870.097662025-072026-032026-10peak 0.0994low 0.04854 (51%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.07038
Where it stands

Not on the Broken Coins list.

Not on the Broken Coins list: 26% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +56.0% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.0506 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 4 (max 4)
Current low
$0.0485 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
4

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 3r 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0556 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 5 (max 8)
Current low
$0.0668 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0816
Cycle-low confidence
45%
Confirmed lows
14

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.0668 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 4.0 (max 12)
Current low
$0.0668 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
21%
Confirmed lows
91
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.05058 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.05561 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.06675 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.08164. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.06675 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
  • Phoenix: 51% decline over 11 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +56% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.13 (neutral); -22% from the all-time high.

Has Sky bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SKY snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0506 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0556 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0668 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0816, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0668 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Sky below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 25.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1020 from 2026-10-05. Separately, CoinGecko reports -24.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.1005 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.0994 · Jul 2025
Trough
$0.0485 · Jun 2026
Decline
-51.2% over 11 months
Above trough
+56.0%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.0704
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.0537 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.0556 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0722
Score 30.6
decline10.6
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health50 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
0.83 %1.1 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
52 #9 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.3 yrs2.2 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$2.15B
Fully diluted
$2.15B
24h volume
$17.9M
Circulating
23,420,729,419 of 23,462,665,147 max
All-time high
$0.1005 · 2024-12-04 (-24.7%)
Mayer multiple
1.127 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.502
On Coinbase since
2025-07-10 (469 bars)
CoinGecko id
sky

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources