Layer 1 · rank #26 · blue chip

Litecoin LTC

$54.50-0.8% 1d+12.3% 7d+18.5% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 61.7 full bullish continuity

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 39.21 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 43.33 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 47.45 (2026-08-30), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
  • Watch: 60% below the 2025-10-10 high; +39% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 73% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +39% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.08 (neutral); -32% vs the 200-week average; -86% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
40.8574.84137.102024-112025-102026-09peak 147.22low 39.21 (73%)false bottommonthly trigger 52.22

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
3r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$39.21 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 5 (max 12)
Current low
$39.21 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
22%
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$43.33 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 5 (max 14)
Current low
$43.33 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
28% · in band
Confirmed lows
56

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Ug 1g 2Ur
Confirmed low
$47.45 · 2026-08-30 (daily)
Position
8 of median 5.0 (max 17)
Current low
$47.45 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
52% · in band
Confirmed lows
425

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$147.22 · Dec 2024
Trough
$39.21 · Jun 2026
Decline
-73.4% over 18 months
Above trough
+39.0%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $52.22
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$76.21 · Jun 2025 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #2 low $43.33 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $45.75
Score 61.7
decline21.7
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip5

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health58 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
7.35 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
26 #12 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
29471.4 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
5061.59 x0.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
6.1 %5.6 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
6.0 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$4.23B
Fully diluted
$4.23B
24h volume
$310.7M
Circulating
77,579,279 of 84,000,000 max
All-time high
$410.26 · 2021-05-09 (-86.7%)
TVL
$834.9K (chain)
Fees 30d
$11.8K
Revenue 30d
Fees 1y
$177.9K
Mayer multiple
1.081 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-32.0%
Pi cycle
0.359
On Coinbase since
2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
CoinGecko id
litecoin