
Layer 1 · rank #26 · blue chip
Litecoin LTC
$54.50-0.8% 1d+12.3% 7d+18.5% 30d
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 61.7 full bullish continuity
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 39.21 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 43.33 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 47.45 (2026-08-30), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
- Watch: 60% below the 2025-10-10 high; +39% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 73% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +39% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.08 (neutral); -32% vs the 200-week average; -86% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $39.21 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 12)
- Current low
- $39.21 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $43.33 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 4 of median 5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $43.33 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 28% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 56
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 1g 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $47.45 · 2026-08-30 (daily)
- Position
- 8 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $47.45 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 52% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 425
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $147.22 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $39.21 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -73.4% over 18 months
- Above trough
- +39.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $52.22
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $76.21 · Jun 2025 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $43.33 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $45.75
Score 61.7
| decline | 21.7 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 5 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health58 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.35 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 26 # | 12 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 29471.4 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 5061.59 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 6.1 % | 5.6 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $4.23B
- Fully diluted
- $4.23B
- 24h volume
- $310.7M
- Circulating
- 77,579,279 of 84,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $410.26 · 2021-05-09 (-86.7%)
- TVL
- $834.9K (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $11.8K
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- $177.9K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.081 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -32.0%
- Pi cycle
- 0.359
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-08-31 (2199 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- litecoin