Paxos Standard PAX
PAX cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List held Falling mixed
50.2% below its 365-day high of $2.00 (2026-09-27), +2.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-17. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dg 2D 2U 3r 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.9712 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 3.5 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.9800 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.01
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 3r 1g 2Dg 3g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.9900 · 2026-07-26
- Position
- 13 of median 5.0 (max 23)
- Current low
- $0.9800 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.01
- Cycle-low confidence
- 92%
- Confirmed lows
- 39
Daily
- Last bars
- 3r 1g 2Ug 2Dg 1
- Confirmed low
- $0.9800 · 2026-10-14 (daily)
- Position
- 7 of median 5 (max 36)
- Current low
- $0.9942 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.01
- Cycle-low confidence
- 29%
- Confirmed lows
- 282
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.9712 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Current low 0.98 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.01. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.99 (Jul 2026), week 13 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.98 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.01. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
- Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.98 (2026-10-14), day 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.9942 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.01. Cycle-low confidence 29%.
- Amber List: 50% below the 2026-09-27 high; +2% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.00 (cheap); -0% vs the 200-week average; -2% from the all-time high.
Has Paxos Standard bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the PAX snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9712 from 2026-07-31. A newer candidate at $0.9800 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.01, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9900 from 2026-07-26. A newer candidate at $0.9800 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.01, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9800 from 2026-10-14. A newer candidate at $0.9942 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.01, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Paxos Standard below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 50.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.00 from 2026-09-27.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering → Amber List
- Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Amber List; recovering
- Phoenix monthly → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
- First observed: Phoenix monthly
Fundamentals
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.2 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| liquidity | could not look — no source data | |
| overhang | could not look — no source data | |
| size | could not look — no source data | |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- —
- Fully diluted
- —
- 24h volume
- —
- Circulating
- —
- All-time high
- — · — (—)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.996 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -0.3%
- Pi cycle
- 0.5
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-07-27 (1906 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- unresolved
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources