Basic Attention BAT
BAT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Phoenix · monthly · score 62.9 mixed
38.2% below its 365-day high of $0.3025 (2025-12-05), +238.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 38% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +238.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0552 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4.5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.0552 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 36% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 15
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0552 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 10 of median 5.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0552 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 49
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.1666 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4.0 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.1855 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1946
- Cycle-low confidence
- 42% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 393
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.05519 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 36%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.05519 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1666 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.1855 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1946. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
- Phoenix: 86% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +239% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 2.02 (neutral); +1% vs the 200-week average; -89% from the all-time high.
Has Basic Attention bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the BAT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0552 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0552 from 2026-08-16. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1666 from 2026-10-18. A newer candidate at $0.1855 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1946, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Basic Attention below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 38.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3025 from 2025-12-05. Separately, CoinGecko reports -90.2% relative to its all-time high of $1.90 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.3887 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0552 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -85.8% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +238.7%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0798
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.1270 · Oct 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 27.9 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.15 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 240 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.5 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $140.5M
- Fully diluted
- $140.9M
- 24h volume
- $10.0M
- Circulating
- 1,495,724,657 of 1,500,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $1.90 · 2021-11-27 (-90.2%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 2.018 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +0.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.352
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-04-20 (2011 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- basic-attention-token
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources