Crypto · rank #228

MetaDAO META

META cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$5.20-0.1% 1d+1.2% 7d-3.7% 30d

Red List held mixed

36.1% below its 365-day high of $8.14 (2026-08-26), +112.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
2.694.306.892026-052026-082026-10high 8.14low 2.45
Where it stands

On the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1g 1r
Confirmed low
$2.45 · 2026-06-30
Position
4 of median ? (max ?)
Current low
$2.45 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
1

Weekly 1

Last bars
1g 1r 3r 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$4.35 · 2026-08-23
Position
9 of median 5.5 (max 7)
Current low
$4.74 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$5.94
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
3

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$4.77 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
Position
6 of median 4 (max 14)
Current low
$4.74 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$5.54
Cycle-low confidence
46%
Confirmed lows
32
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.45 (Jun 2026).
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.35 (Aug 2026), week 9 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Current low 4.74 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 5.94.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.77 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 4.74 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 5.54. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Red List: 36% below the 2026-08-26 high; +112% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: -24% from the all-time high.

Has MetaDAO bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the META snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.45 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $4.35 from 2026-08-23. A newer candidate at $4.74 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $5.94, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $4.77 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $4.74 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $5.54, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is MetaDAO below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 36.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $8.14 from 2026-08-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -52.0% relative to its all-time high of $10.84 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List → Red List
  2. Watch → Amber List
  3. Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed → Watch
  4. Watch → Unmatched; coverage or recovery unconfirmed
  5. First observed: Watch

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health60 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
8.47 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
228 #3 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
0.4 yrs0.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$152.6M
Fully diluted
$152.6M
24h volume
$12.9M
Circulating
22,684,686
All-time high
$10.84 · 2025-10-21 (-52.0%)
On Coinbase since
2026-05-28 (147 bars)
CoinGecko id
meta-2-2

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources