
Layer 1 · rank #18 · blue chip
Cardano ADA
$0.2216-0.7% 1d+12.1% 7d+11.2% 30d
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 69.8 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1381 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1533 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1711 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2587. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2092 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Amber List: 77% below the 2025-09-13 high; +60% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 90% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +60% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-09.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.01 (neutral); -53% vs the 200-week average; -92% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1381 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 3 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.1381 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 46% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 1r 1g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.1533 · 2026-08-02
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.1711 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2587
- Cycle-low odds
- 28% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 50
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.2092 · 2026-09-05 (daily)
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.2092 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 20%
- Confirmed lows
- 362
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.33 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $0.1381 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -89.6% over 18 months
- Above trough
- +60.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.2374
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.5101 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.1533 confirmed 2026-08-09 · trigger $0.1919
Score 69.8
| decline | 29.8 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 5 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health56 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 4.85 % | 14.5 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.2 x | 13.5 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 18 # | 12 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 17092.8 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 127.14 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 9.1 % | 5.9 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.5 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $8.31B
- Fully diluted
- $9.96B
- 24h volume
- $403.2M
- Circulating
- 37,510,482,444 of 45,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $3.09 · 2021-09-01 (-92.8%)
- TVL
- $65.3M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $39.9K
- Revenue 30d
- $8.0K
- Fees 1y
- $1.2M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.014 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -52.8%
- Pi cycle
- 0.281
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-03-18 (2000 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- cardano