Layer 1 · rank #18 · blue chip

Cardano ADA

$0.2216-0.7% 1d+12.1% 7d+11.2% 30d

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 69.8 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1381 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1533 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1711 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2587. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2092 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
  • Amber List: 77% below the 2025-09-13 high; +60% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 90% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +60% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-09.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.01 (neutral); -53% vs the 200-week average; -92% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.14350.421.232024-112025-102026-09peak 1.33low 0.1381 (90%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.2374

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
3r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$0.1381 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 3 (max 13)
Current low
$0.1381 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
46% · in band
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 3g 1r 1g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.1533 · 2026-08-02
Position
6 of median 5 (max 14)
Current low
$0.1711 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2587
Cycle-low odds
28% · in band
Confirmed lows
50

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.2092 · 2026-09-05 (daily)
Position
2 of median 5 (max 21)
Current low
$0.2092 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
20%
Confirmed lows
362

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$1.33 · Dec 2024
Trough
$0.1381 · Jun 2026
Decline
-89.6% over 18 months
Above trough
+60.5%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.2374
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.5101 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.1533 confirmed 2026-08-09 · trigger $0.1919
Score 69.8
decline29.8
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip5

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health56 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
4.85 %14.5 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.2 x13.5 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
18 #12 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
17092.8 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
127.14 x0.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
9.1 %5.9 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.5 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$8.31B
Fully diluted
$9.96B
24h volume
$403.2M
Circulating
37,510,482,444 of 45,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$3.09 · 2021-09-01 (-92.8%)
TVL
$65.3M (chain)
Fees 30d
$39.9K
Revenue 30d
$8.0K
Fees 1y
$1.2M
Mayer multiple
1.014 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-52.8%
Pi cycle
0.281
On Coinbase since
2021-03-18 (2000 bars)
CoinGecko id
cardano