Crypto

Aergo AERGO

AERGO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0175-2.4% 1d+37.7% 7d+85.2% 30d

Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 67.0 mixed

80.1% below its 365-day high of $0.0880 (2026-02-01), +196.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.0068770.054470.43152025-032025-122026-10peak 0.75low 0.0059 (99%)monthly trigger 0.01533
Where it stands

On the Red List.

Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +196.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
3r 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.0059 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 5.5 (max 7)
Current low
$0.0059 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
63% · in band
Confirmed lows
11

Weekly 1

Last bars
1g 2Dr 3r 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0088 · 2026-10-11
Position
2 of median 5.0 (max 20)
Current low
$0.0088 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
11% · in band
Confirmed lows
39

Daily 2D

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.0136 · 2026-10-17 (daily)
Position
4 of median 5.0 (max 24)
Current low
$0.0088 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
56% · in band
Confirmed lows
297
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0059 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 63%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0088 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 11%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.01363 (2026-10-17), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 56%.
  • Red List: 80% below the 2026-02-01 high; +196% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 99% decline over 16 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +196% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-10-18.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.62 (cheap); -83% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.

Has Aergo bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the AERGO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0059 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0088 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0136 from 2026-10-17. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Aergo below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 80.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0880 from 2026-02-01.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Red List · Phoenix weekly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.7500 · Apr 2025
Trough
$0.0059 · Aug 2026
Decline
-99.2% over 16 months
Above trough
+196.5%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.0153
Weekly
confirmed (late (2 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.0088 confirmed 2026-10-18 · trigger $0.0101
Score 67.0
decline30
confirmation25
earliness12.0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health100 / 100 · Strong
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.6 yrs10.0 / 10
liquiditycould not look — no source data
overhangcould not look — no source data
sizecould not look — no source data
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
—
Fully diluted
—
24h volume
—
Circulating
—
All-time high
— · — (—)
Mayer multiple
0.625 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-82.6%
Pi cycle
0.153
On Coinbase since
2022-03-08 (1689 bars)
CoinGecko id
unresolved

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources