Dogecoin DOGE
DOGE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held Falling bearish lean
63.1% below its 365-day high of $0.2096 (2025-10-27), +14.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-24 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0676 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4.5 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.0760 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0979
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25%
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0783 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.0760 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0880
- Cycle-low confidence
- 68% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 42
Daily
- Last bars
- 3g 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0784 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 4 of median 5 (max 29)
- Current low
- $0.0768 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0790
- Cycle-low confidence
- 48%
- Confirmed lows
- 342
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.06762 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.07601 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.09792. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.07826 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.07601 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.08801. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.07839 (2026-10-20), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0768 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.079. Cycle-low confidence 48%.
- Red List: 63% below the 2025-10-27 high; +14% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.89 (cheap); -44% vs the 200-week average; -83% from the all-time high.
Has Dogecoin bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the DOGE snapshot records on 2026-10-24 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0676 from 2026-08-31. A newer candidate at $0.0760 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0979, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0783 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0760 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0880, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0784 from 2026-10-20. A newer candidate at $0.0768 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0790, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Dogecoin below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 63.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2096 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -89.4% relative to its all-time high of $0.7316 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering → Red List
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch · Phoenix weekly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch · Phoenix weekly
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.56 % | 6.9 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.1 x | 14.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 12 # | 12 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 54673.3 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 8025.05 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -8.6 % | 4.1 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.4 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $14.48B
- Fully diluted
- $15.94B
- 24h volume
- $370.1M
- Circulating
- 156,177,466,384
- All-time high
- $0.7316 · 2021-05-07 (-89.4%)
- TVL
- $1.8M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $21.8K
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $390.0K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.891 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -43.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.4
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-06-03 (1970 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- dogecoin
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources