Pudgy Penguins PENGU
PENGU cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 39.0 mixed
65.8% below its 365-day high of $0.0233 (2025-10-27), +51.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +43.6% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1r 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00556 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 2.0 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.00556 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.00667 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.00706 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00838
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 15
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.00706 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.00706 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 18%
- Confirmed lows
- 108
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.005556 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 2.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.006666 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.007057 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.008383. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.007057 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 18%.
- Amber List: 66% below the 2025-10-27 high; +51% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 88% decline over 11 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +44% above the trough; pullback #4 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.04 (neutral); -82% from the all-time high.
Has Pudgy Penguins bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the PENGU snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00556 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00667 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00706 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00838, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00706 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Pudgy Penguins below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 65.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0233 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -88.3% relative to its all-time high of $0.0684 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0466 · Jul 2025
- Trough
- $0.00556 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -88.1% over 11 months
- Above trough
- +43.6%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.00796
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #4 low $0.00667 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00833
| decline | 29.0 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 24.42 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.22 x | 13.3 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 107 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.7 yrs | 3.4 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $577.2M
- Fully diluted
- $704.5M
- 24h volume
- $141.0M
- Circulating
- 62,860,396,090 of 88,888,888,888 max
- All-time high
- $0.0684 · 2024-12-17 (-88.3%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.041 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.448
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-02-13 (616 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- pudgy-penguins
Continue your cycle research
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