Shiba Inu SHIB
SHIB cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 40 mixed
52.1% below its 365-day high of $1.07e-05 (2025-10-27), +26.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +26.4% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $4.05e-06 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 6.0 (max 12)
- Current low
- $4.05e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 35% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $4.74e-06 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $4.8e-06 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $5.55e-06
- Cycle-low confidence
- 42% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 40
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2D 2Ug 3g 1
- Confirmed low
- $4.8e-06 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 21)
- Current low
- $4.8e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 18%
- Confirmed lows
- 322
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.05e-06 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.74e-06 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 4.8e-06 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 5.55e-06. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
- Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.8e-06 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 18%.
- Amber List: 52% below the 2025-10-27 high; +26% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 91% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +26% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.98 (cheap); -58% vs the 200-week average; -94% from the all-time high.
Has Shiba Inu bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SHIB snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $4.05e-06 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $4.74e-06 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $4.8e-06 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $5.55e-06, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $4.8e-06 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Shiba Inu below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 52.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.07e-05 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -94.1% relative to its all-time high of $8.62e-05 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4.58e-05 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $4.05e-06 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -91.1% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +26.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $5.57e-06
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (4 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $4.74e-06 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $5.7e-06
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.54 % | 3.5 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 35 # | 9 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $3.36B
- Fully diluted
- $3.36B
- 24h volume
- $51.9M
- Circulating
- 589,238,862,696,031
- All-time high
- $8.62e-05 · 2021-10-27 (-94.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.977 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -57.8%
- Pi cycle
- 0.409
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-09-09 (1869 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- shiba-inu
Continue your cycle research
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