
Pump.fun PUMP
PUMP cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Phoenix · monthly · score 38.6 bullish lean
30.4% below its 365-day high of $0.00682 (2026-10-05), +313.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 30% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +313.0% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.00115 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 2 (max 2)
- Current low
- $0.00115 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0034 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.00383 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00603
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85%
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Daily
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.00383 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.00383 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 64% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 86
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00115 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 2.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.003395 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.00383 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.006029. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00383 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 64%.
- Phoenix: 87% decline over 9 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +313% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.74 (neutral); -45% from the all-time high.
Has Pump.fun bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the PUMP snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00115 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0034 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00383 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00603, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00383 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Pump.fun below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 30.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.00682 from 2026-10-05. Separately, CoinGecko reports -46.1% relative to its all-time high of $0.00882 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.009 · Sep 2025
- Trough
- $0.00115 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -87.2% over 9 months
- Above trough
- +313.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00188
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0034 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00445
| decline | 28.6 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 11.33 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.79 x | 9.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 39 # | 9 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.3 yrs | 2.2 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $2.90B
- Fully diluted
- $5.19B
- 24h volume
- $329.1M
- Circulating
- 464,602,529,291 of 1,000,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.00882 · 2025-09-14 (-46.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.741 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.685
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-07-15 (464 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- pump-fun
Continue your cycle research
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