Meme · rank #39

Pump.fun PUMP

PUMP cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.00475-2.4% 1d-0.4% 7d+8.6% 30d

Phoenix · monthly · score 38.6 bullish lean

30.4% below its 365-day high of $0.00682 (2026-10-05), +313.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.00120.0032170.0086232025-082026-032026-10peak 0.008999low 0.00115 (87%)monthly trigger 0.001876
Where it stands

Not on the Broken Coins list.

Not on the Broken Coins list: 30% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +313.0% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.00115 · 2026-06-30
Position
4 of median 2 (max 2)
Current low
$0.00115 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0034 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 4.0 (max 10)
Current low
$0.00383 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.00603
Cycle-low confidence
85%
Confirmed lows
13

Daily 2U

Last bars
1r 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.00383 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 14)
Current low
$0.00383 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
64% · in band
Confirmed lows
86
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00115 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 2.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.003395 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.00383 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.006029. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00383 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 64%.
  • Phoenix: 87% decline over 9 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +313% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.74 (neutral); -45% from the all-time high.

Has Pump.fun bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the PUMP snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00115 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0034 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00383 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00603, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00383 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Pump.fun below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 30.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.00682 from 2026-10-05. Separately, CoinGecko reports -46.1% relative to its all-time high of $0.00882 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.009 · Sep 2025
Trough
$0.00115 · Jun 2026
Decline
-87.2% over 9 months
Above trough
+313.0%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00188
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.0034 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00445
Score 38.6
decline28.6
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health64 / 100 · Sound (meme)
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
11.33 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.79 x9.1 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
39 #9 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.3 yrs2.2 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$2.90B
Fully diluted
$5.19B
24h volume
$329.1M
Circulating
464,602,529,291 of 1,000,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.00882 · 2025-09-14 (-46.1%)
Mayer multiple
1.741 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.685
On Coinbase since
2025-07-15 (464 bars)
CoinGecko id
pump-fun

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources