Pepe PEPE
PEPE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 61.0 mixed
39.5% below its 365-day high of $7.46e-06 (2025-10-26), +103.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules on 2026-10-18. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +103.2% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $2.22e-06 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 8.0 (max 9)
- Current low
- $2.22e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Dr 1r 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $3.64e-06 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 4 (max 15)
- Current low
- $3.64e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 61% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 16
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $3.77e-06 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 21)
- Current low
- $3.77e-06 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 113
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.22e-06 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 3.64e-06 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 61%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 3.77e-06 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Watch: 40% below the 2025-10-26 high; +103% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 92% decline over 19 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +103% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-10-21.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.32 (neutral); -83% from the all-time high.
Has Pepe bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the PEPE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.22e-06 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $3.64e-06 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $3.77e-06 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Pepe below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 39.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $7.46e-06 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -83.9% relative to its all-time high of $2.8e-05 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.84e-05 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $2.22e-06 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -92.2% over 19 months
- Above trough
- +103.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $3.11e-06
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $3.64e-06 confirmed 2026-10-21 · trigger $4.57e-06
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.08 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 59 # | 9 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.9 yrs | 4.1 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $1.80B
- Fully diluted
- $1.80B
- 24h volume
- $127.5M
- Circulating
- 420,690,000,000,000 of 420,690,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $2.8e-05 · 2024-12-09 (-83.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.317 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.446
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-11-13 (708 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- pepe
Continue your cycle research
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