DeFi · rank #89

PancakeSwap CAKE

$2.21-1.2% 1d+18.5% 7d+53.9% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 47.8 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.13 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.35 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.78 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
  • Watch: 52% below the 2025-10-08 high; +96% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 76% decline over 8 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +96% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.52 (neutral); -49% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
1.162.254.372025-092026-032026-09peak 4.61low 1.13 (76%)monthly trigger 1.49

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
1g 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$1.13 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 4 (max 4)
Current low
$1.13 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$1.35 · 2026-08-02
Position
6 of median 4.5 (max 14)
Current low
$1.25 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
47%
Confirmed lows
11

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 2Ug 1r 1r
Confirmed low
$1.78 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 4 (max 13)
Current low
$1.78 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
21%
Confirmed lows
86

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$4.61 · Oct 2025
Trough
$1.13 · Jun 2026
Decline
-75.5% over 8 months
Above trough
+96.2%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $1.49
Weekly
confirmed (late (4 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $1.35 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $1.48
Score 47.8
decline22.8
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health69 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
12.79 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.04 x14.7 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
89 #6 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.2 yrs2.1 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$710.8M
Fully diluted
$736.6M
24h volume
$90.9M
Circulating
320,777,547 of 400,000,000 max
All-time high
$43.96 · 2021-04-30 (-95.0%)
Mayer multiple
1.52 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.409
On Coinbase since
2025-06-12 (453 bars)
CoinGecko id
pancakeswap-token