
DeFi · rank #89
PancakeSwap CAKE
$2.21-1.2% 1d+18.5% 7d+53.9% 30d
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 47.8 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.13 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.35 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.78 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
- Watch: 52% below the 2025-10-08 high; +96% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 76% decline over 8 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +96% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-23.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.52 (neutral); -49% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 1g 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1.13 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 4 (max 4)
- Current low
- $1.13 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.35 · 2026-08-02
- Position
- 6 of median 4.5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $1.25 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 47%
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 2Ug 1r 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.78 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 13)
- Current low
- $1.78 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 21%
- Confirmed lows
- 86
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4.61 · Oct 2025
- Trough
- $1.13 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -75.5% over 8 months
- Above trough
- +96.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $1.49
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (4 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $1.35 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $1.48
Score 47.8
| decline | 22.8 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health69 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 12.79 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.04 x | 14.7 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 89 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.2 yrs | 2.1 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $710.8M
- Fully diluted
- $736.6M
- 24h volume
- $90.9M
- Circulating
- 320,777,547 of 400,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $43.96 · 2021-04-30 (-95.0%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.52 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.409
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-06-12 (453 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- pancakeswap-token