NEAR Protocol NEAR
NEAR cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Phoenix · monthly · score 84.0 bullish lean
16.3% below its 365-day high of $6.00 (2026-10-12), +495.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 16% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +227.3% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $1.54 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.5 (max 10)
- Current low
- $1.54 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 27%
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3g 2Ur 1g
- Confirmed low
- $4.30 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $1.54 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 51%
- Confirmed lows
- 33
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ur 2Dg 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $4.62 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 21)
- Current low
- $4.62 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 24% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 264
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.54 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.30 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 51%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 4.62 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
- Phoenix: 83% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +227% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-10-18 (trigger 5.93).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 2.13 (neutral); +67% vs the 200-week average; -43% from the all-time high.
Has NEAR Protocol bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the NEAR snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.54 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $4.30 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $4.62 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is NEAR Protocol below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 16.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $6.00 from 2026-10-12. Separately, CoinGecko reports -75.4% relative to its all-time high of $20.44 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $9.00 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $1.54 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -82.9% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +227.3%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $2.15
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $1.79 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $4.30 confirmed 2026-10-18 · trigger $5.93
| decline | 26.5 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 22.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.72 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 22 # | 12 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 2318.8 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 27.98 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 243.2 % | 10.0 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $6.31B
- Fully diluted
- $6.31B
- 24h volume
- $487.6M
- Circulating
- 1,308,004,119
- All-time high
- $20.44 · 2022-01-16 (-75.4%)
- TVL
- $225.7M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $223.7K
- Revenue 30d
- $156.6K
- Fees 1y
- $1.2M
- Mayer multiple
- 2.13 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +66.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.704
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-09-01 (1512 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- near
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources