Quant QNT
QNT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Falling Phoenix · monthly · score 43.9 mixed
47.0% below its 365-day high of $372.00 (2026-09-27), +267.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 9.3 daily-vol units over 20 days, 47% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +255.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $55.40 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6 (max 13)
- Current low
- $55.40 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 27%
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 1r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $58.83 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6 (max 20)
- Current low
- $58.83 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 19% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 42
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $181.25 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 16)
- Current low
- $189.19 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $202.60
- Cycle-low confidence
- 18%
- Confirmed lows
- 357
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 55.40 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 58.83 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 19%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 181.25 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 189.19 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 202.60. Cycle-low confidence 18%.
- Red List: 47% below the 2026-09-27 high; +268% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 68% decline over 20 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +256% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 66.66).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 2.21 (neutral); +103% vs the 200-week average; -50% from the all-time high.
Has Quant bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the QNT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $55.40 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $58.83 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $181.25 from 2026-10-18. A newer candidate at $189.19 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $202.60, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Quant below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 47.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $372.00 from 2026-09-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -53.9% relative to its all-time high of $427.42 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $171.69 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $55.40 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -67.7% over 20 months
- Above trough
- +255.7%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $68.55
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (3 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $58.83 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $66.66
| decline | 18.9 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.69 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 33 # | 9 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $3.91B
- Fully diluted
- $3.93B
- 24h volume
- $300.6M
- Circulating
- 14,544,176 of 14,612,493 max
- All-time high
- $427.42 · 2021-09-11 (-53.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 2.213 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +103.0%
- Pi cycle
- 0.619
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-06-24 (1946 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- quant-network
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources