RWA · rank #1085

KAIO KAIO

KAIO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0302-0.7% 1d-4.3% 7d+118.6% 30d

Red List mixed

88.8% below its 365-day high of $0.2693 (2026-05-06), +151.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.013060.050070.19192026-052026-072026-10high 0.2693low 0.01202
Where it stands

On the Red List.

89% below its rolling 365-day high, 168 days after the high.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 3g 1g
Confirmed low
—
Position
—
Current low
$0.0120 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0444
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
0

Weekly 1

Last bars
1g 2Ug 1g 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0120 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 8 (max 8)
Current low
$0.0120 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Daily 1

Last bars
1r 2Dr 3r 1g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0240 · 2026-10-11 (daily)
Position
10 of median 7 (max 15)
Current low
$0.0267 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0360
Cycle-low confidence
35% · in band
Confirmed lows
24
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Current low 0.01202 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0444.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01202 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 8.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02403 (2026-10-11), day 10 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.0267 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.03603. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
  • Red List: 89% below the 2026-05-06 high; +151% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: -84% from the all-time high.

Has KAIO bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the KAIO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: No confirmed swing low is recorded in the available history. A newer candidate at $0.0120 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0444, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0120 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0240 from 2026-10-11. A newer candidate at $0.0267 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0360, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is KAIO below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 88.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2693 from 2026-05-06. Separately, CoinGecko reports -88.2% relative to its all-time high of $0.2566 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Red List

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health54 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
4.88 %14.6 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
14.68 x0.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
1085 #0 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
26.2 x19.3 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
0.35 x15.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
0.7 %5.1 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
0.5 yrs0.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$13.7M
Fully diluted
$200.9M
24h volume
$668.3K
Circulating
681,250,000 of 10,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.2566 · 2026-05-06 (-88.2%)
TVL
$39.6M (protocol)
Fees 30d
$43.0K
Revenue 30d
$43.0K
Fees 1y
$204.5K
On Coinbase since
2026-05-06 (169 bars)
CoinGecko id
kaio

Continue your cycle research

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