RWA · rank #341

RE RE

RE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.3889+0.4% 1d-8.0% 7d-17.0% 30d

Red List mixed

64.4% below its 365-day high of $1.09 (2026-06-20), +8.9% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.37490.61381.002026-062026-082026-10high 1.09low 0.3571
Where it stands

On the Red List.

A crash of 13.0 daily-vol units over 20 days, 64% below its rolling 365-day high.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 3

Last bars
2Dr 1g 1r 3r
Confirmed low
—
Position
—
Current low
$0.3571 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.7546
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
0

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 3r 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.4045 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 6 (max 6)
Current low
$0.3651 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.4506
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$0.3651 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 4.5 (max 19)
Current low
$0.3651 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
68% · in band
Confirmed lows
19
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red outside bar (3). Current low 0.3571 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.7546.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.4045 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.3651 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.4506.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3651 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
  • Red List: 64% below the 2026-06-20 high; +9% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: -61% from the all-time high.

Has RE bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: No confirmed swing low is recorded in the available history. A newer candidate at $0.3571 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.7546, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.4045 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.3651 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.4506, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3651 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is RE below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 64.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.09 from 2026-06-20. Separately, CoinGecko reports -64.0% relative to its all-time high of $1.08 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List → Red List
  2. Watch → Amber List
  3. First observed: Watch

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health58 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
15.86 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
6.27 x0.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
341 #0 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
3.5 x20.0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
0.18 x15.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
26.1 %7.6 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
0.3 yrs0.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$81.0M
Fully diluted
$507.6M
24h volume
$12.8M
Circulating
159,600,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$1.08 · 2026-06-20 (-64.0%)
TVL
$450.6M (protocol)
Fees 30d
$1.9M
Revenue 30d
$5.1K
Fees 1y
$12.1M
On Coinbase since
2026-06-18 (126 bars)
CoinGecko id
re

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources