Crypto · rank #900

Adventure Gold AGLD

AGLD cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.1758+0.9% 1d-4.7% 7d-14.7% 30d

Amber List held mixed

62.6% below its 365-day high of $0.4699 (2026-01-25), +49.9% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.12330.5942.862024-052025-072026-10high 0.4699low 0.1173
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 1r 1g 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.6007 · 2025-04-30
Position
18 of median 7.0 (max 10)
Current low
$0.1173 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2693
Cycle-low confidence
59%
Confirmed lows
7

Weekly 1

Last bars
1g 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.1573 · 2026-09-06
Position
7 of median 5 (max 22)
Current low
$0.1173 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2693
Cycle-low confidence
73% · in band
Confirmed lows
42

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.1690 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
Position
1 of median 5 (max 16)
Current low
$0.1651 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
76%
Confirmed lows
340
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6007 (Apr 2025), month 18 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.1173 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2693. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1573 (Sep 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1173 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2693. Cycle-low confidence 73%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.169 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 76%.
  • Amber List: 63% below the 2026-01-25 high; +50% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.90 (cheap); -76% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.

Has Adventure Gold bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the AGLD snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6007 from 2025-04-30. A newer candidate at $0.1173 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2693, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1573 from 2026-09-06. A newer candidate at $0.1173 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2693, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1690 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Adventure Gold below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 62.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.4699 from 2026-01-25. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.7% relative to its all-time high of $7.70 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Watch → Amber List
  2. Amber List → Watch
  3. First observed: Amber List

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health73 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
23.91 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
900 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.1 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$19.7M
Fully diluted
$19.7M
24h volume
$4.7M
Circulating
92,840,001 of 96,000,000 max
All-time high
$7.70 · 2021-09-03 (-97.7%)
Mayer multiple
0.896 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-76.1%
Pi cycle
0.378
On Coinbase since
2021-09-21 (1857 bars)
CoinGecko id
adventure-gold

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources