
Aligned ALIGN
ALIGN cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Falling bearish lean
84.4% below its 365-day high of $0.0284 (2026-08-20), +3.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
84% below its rolling 365-day high, 62 days after the high.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- —
- Position
- —
- Current low
- $0.00431 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00635
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 0
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- —
- Position
- —
- Current low
- $0.00431 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00495
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 0
Daily
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.00446 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 15.5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.00431 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00452
- Cycle-low confidence
- 84%
- Confirmed lows
- 3
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Current low 0.00431 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00635.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Current low 0.00431 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00495.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00446 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 15.5. Current low 0.00431 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00452. Cycle-low confidence 84%.
- Red List: 84% below the 2026-08-20 high; +3% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: -80% from the all-time high.
Has Aligned bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ALIGN snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: No confirmed swing low is recorded in the available history. A newer candidate at $0.00431 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00635, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: No confirmed swing low is recorded in the available history. A newer candidate at $0.00431 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00495, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00446 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.00431 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00452, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Aligned below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 84.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0284 from 2026-08-20. Separately, CoinGecko reports -86.9% relative to its all-time high of $0.0338 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-10-18. 4 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 20.37 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 6.13 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1271 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.2 yrs | 0.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $10.1M
- Fully diluted
- $61.9M
- 24h volume
- $2.1M
- Circulating
- 1,632,000,000 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.0338 · 2026-08-20 (-86.9%)
- On Coinbase since
- 2026-08-20 (63 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- aligned
Continue your cycle research
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