ApeCoin APE
APE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
70.5% below its 365-day high of $0.4970 (2025-10-24), +81.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
70% below its rolling 365-day high, 362 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +22.2% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dg 2Ur 2Dg 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.1200 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6.0 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.1200 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 6%
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1204 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.1315 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1598
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50%
- Confirmed lows
- 37
Daily
- Last bars
- 1r 3r 1g 1g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1315 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 4 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.1336 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1541
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25%
- Confirmed lows
- 314
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.12 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 6%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1204 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1315 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1598. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1315 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.1336 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1541. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Amber List: 70% below the 2025-10-24 high; +81% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +22% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.1434).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.06 (neutral); -88% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has ApeCoin bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the APE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1200 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1204 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1315 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1598, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1315 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.1336 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1541, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is ApeCoin below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 70.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.4970 from 2025-10-24. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.5% relative to its all-time high of $26.70 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.69 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.1200 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -95.5% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +22.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1593
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.1204 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.1434
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 14.15 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 218 # | 3 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 845.1 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 55.2 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 16.6 % | 6.7 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.6 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $162.4M
- Fully diluted
- $162.4M
- 24h volume
- $23.0M
- Circulating
- 1,000,000,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $26.70 · 2022-04-28 (-99.5%)
- TVL
- $2.9M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $15.8K
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- $138.7K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.061 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -88.3%
- Pi cycle
- 0.449
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-03-17 (1680 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- apecoin
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources