The Sandbox SAND
SAND cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
74.3% below its 365-day high of $0.2234 (2025-10-27), +76.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
74% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +76.4% above the Sep 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0326 · 2026-09-30
- Position
- 1 of median 6 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.0326 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 1r 2Dr 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0326 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.0 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.0326 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 34% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 41
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 1g 2Dr 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0527 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 26)
- Current low
- $0.0527 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85%
- Confirmed lows
- 289
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0326 (Sep 2026), month 1 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0326 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0527 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Amber List: 74% below the 2025-10-27 high; +76% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 21 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +76% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.03 (neutral); -83% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.
Has The Sandbox bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SAND snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0326 from 2026-09-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0326 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0527 from 2026-10-15. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is The Sandbox below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 74.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2234 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.3% relative to its all-time high of $8.40 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Red List · Phoenix weekly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Red List → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Red List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.07 · Dec 2024
- Trough
- $0.0326 · Sep 2026
- Decline
- -96.9% over 21 months
- Above trough
- +76.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0477
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 142.35 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.02 x | 14.8 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 186 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.4 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $216.2M
- Fully diluted
- $220.8M
- 24h volume
- $307.7M
- Circulating
- 2,937,639,702 of 3,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $8.40 · 2021-11-24 (-99.3%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.03 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -82.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.283
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-05-26 (1610 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- the-sandbox
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources