Crypto · rank #941

ARPA ARPA

$0.00973-1.2% 1d+2.4% 7d+13.1% 30d

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0076 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.008 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.0076 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0133. Cycle-low confidence 70%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0091 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
  • Amber List: 80% below the 2025-10-14 high; +28% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 95% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +28% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-08-09 (trigger 0.0084).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.04 (neutral); -73% vs the 200-week average; -95% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.00760.027990.10312024-032025-062026-09peak 0.145low 0.0076 (95%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.0104

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
1g 2Dr 2Ug 1g 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0076 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 5.5 (max 12)
Current low
$0.0076 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
24% · in band
Confirmed lows
9

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ur 2Ug 1g 1g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.008 · 2026-08-02
Position
6 of median 4.0 (max 18)
Current low
$0.0076 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0133
Cycle-low odds
70%
Confirmed lows
49

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Ug 1g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0091 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 22)
Current low
$0.0091 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
33% · in band
Confirmed lows
319

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.1450 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.0076 · Jun 2026
Decline
-94.8% over 27 months
Above trough
+28.0%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0104
Weekly
not yet
False bottom
$0.0162 · Jun 2025 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.008 confirmed 2026-08-09 · trigger $0.0084
Score 65
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health71 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
20.91 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.15 x13.9 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
941 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.9 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$17.0M
Fully diluted
$19.5M
24h volume
$3.5M
Circulating
1,742,888,889 of 2,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.2686 · 2021-11-03 (-96.4%)
TVL
$0 (protocol)
Fees 30d
Revenue 30d
Fees 1y
Mayer multiple
1.038 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-73.1%
Pi cycle
0.376
On Coinbase since
2021-10-19 (1785 bars)
CoinGecko id
arpa