Crypto

AirSwap AST

AST cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.00547-2.6% 1d+2.1% 7d-10.1% 30d

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed

81.3% below its 365-day high of $0.0292 (2025-11-03), +43.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.00390.0250.16032024-052025-072026-10low 0.003819 (98%)monthly trigger 0.01157
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

81% below its rolling 365-day high, 352 days after the high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +43.2% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.00382 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 4.0 (max 21)
Current low
$0.00382 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
32%
Confirmed lows
9

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ur 2Ug 1r 3r 1g
Confirmed low
$0.00481 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 6 (max 21)
Current low
$0.005 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.00743
Cycle-low confidence
51% · in band
Confirmed lows
38

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 1g 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.005 · 2026-10-16 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5 (max 23)
Current low
$0.005 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
51%
Confirmed lows
282
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.003819 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.004808 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.005005 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.007426. Cycle-low confidence 51%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.005005 (2026-10-16), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 51%.
  • Amber List: 81% below the 2025-11-03 high; +43% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 98% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +43% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.006276).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.99 (cheap); -92% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.

Has AirSwap bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the AST snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00382 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00481 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.005 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00743, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.005 from 2026-10-16. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is AirSwap below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 81.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0292 from 2025-11-03.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.2562 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.00382 · Aug 2026
Decline
-98.5% over 29 months
Above trough
+43.2%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0116
Weekly
confirmed (late (2 bars))
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.00481 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00628
Score 55
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health100 / 100 · Strong
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.3 yrs10.0 / 10
liquiditycould not look — no source data
overhangcould not look — no source data
sizecould not look — no source data
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
—
Fully diluted
—
24h volume
—
Circulating
—
All-time high
— · — (—)
Mayer multiple
0.987 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-92.2%
Pi cycle
0.293
On Coinbase since
2022-06-28 (1573 bars)
CoinGecko id
unresolved

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources