Axelar AXL
AXL cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 67.0 mixed
78.3% below its 365-day high of $0.2461 (2025-12-09), +54.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
78% below its rolling 365-day high, 316 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +54.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0345 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 9.0 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.0345 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 26%
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0475 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 6.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.0475 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 19%
- Confirmed lows
- 25
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 3g 1r 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0516 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.0525 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0543
- Cycle-low confidence
- 30%
- Confirmed lows
- 236
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0345 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0475 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 19%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.0516 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0525 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0543. Cycle-low confidence 30%.
- Amber List: 78% below the 2025-12-09 high; +54% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 99% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +54% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-10-18.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.09 (neutral); -98% from the all-time high.
Has Axelar bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the AXL snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0345 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0475 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0516 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.0525 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0543, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Axelar below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 78.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2461 from 2025-12-09. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.0% relative to its all-time high of $2.64 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.73 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0345 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -98.7% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +54.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0533
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0475 confirmed 2026-10-18 · trigger $0.0593
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 12.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 5.9 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.01 x | 14.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 388 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.7 yrs | 9.1 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $68.2M
- Fully diluted
- $68.7M
- 24h volume
- $4.0M
- Circulating
- 1,246,484,089
- All-time high
- $2.64 · 2024-03-01 (-98.0%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.095 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.348
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-02-07 (1353 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- axelar
Continue your cycle research
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