BADGER BADGER
BADGER cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Falling Phoenix · monthly · score 55 full bearish continuity
68.9% below its 365-day high of $1.05 (2025-10-04), +1.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-09-28 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 14.1 daily-vol units over 20 days, 69% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +1.8% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 3r
- Confirmed low
- $0.3203 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.3203 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 29% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 3g 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.3329 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 7 of median 6 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.3260 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3400
- Cycle-low confidence
- 94% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 44
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ur 2Dr 2Ur 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.3294 · 2026-09-26 (daily)
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 34)
- Current low
- $0.3260 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3400
- Cycle-low confidence
- 41%
- Confirmed lows
- 312
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: bar is a red outside bar (3). Last confirmed swing low 0.3203 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 29%.
- Weekly: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.3329 (Aug 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.326 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.34. Cycle-low confidence 94%.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.3294 (2026-09-26), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.326 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.34. Cycle-low confidence 41%.
- Red List: 69% below the 2025-10-04 high; +2% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +2% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-08-23 (trigger 0.3624).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.85 (cheap); -85% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has BADGER bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the BADGER snapshot records on 2026-09-28 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3203 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3329 from 2026-08-16. A newer candidate at $0.3260 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3400, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3294 from 2026-09-26. A newer candidate at $0.3260 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3400, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is BADGER below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 68.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.05 from 2025-10-04.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $10.71 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.3203 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -97.0% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +1.8%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.4161
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (7 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.3329 confirmed 2026-08-23 · trigger $0.3624
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| liquidity | could not look — no source data | |
| overhang | could not look — no source data | |
| size | could not look — no source data | |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- —
- Fully diluted
- —
- 24h volume
- —
- Circulating
- —
- All-time high
- — · — (—)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.854 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -85.3%
- Pi cycle
- 0.396
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-10-14 (1811 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- unresolved
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources