dYdX COSMOSDYDX
COSMOSDYDX cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 54.0 bullish lean
67.6% below its 365-day high of $0.3667 (2025-11-10), +51.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +24.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3r 2Dr 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.0956 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 5)
- Current low
- $0.0956 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1022 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.1086 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1435
- Cycle-low confidence
- 10%
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ur 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.1086 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.1086 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46%
- Confirmed lows
- 77
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0956 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1022 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.1086 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1435. Cycle-low confidence 10%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1086 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Amber List: 68% below the 2025-11-10 high; +51% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 88% decline over 12 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +24% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.1379).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.91 (cheap); -84% from the all-time high.
Has dYdX bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the COSMOSDYDX snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0956 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1022 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1086 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1435, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1086 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is dYdX below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 67.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3667 from 2025-11-10.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.8000 · Aug 2025
- Trough
- $0.0956 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -88.0% over 12 months
- Above trough
- +24.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1341
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.1022 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.1379
| decline | 29.0 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.2 yrs | 2.0 / 10 |
| liquidity | could not look — no source data | |
| overhang | could not look — no source data | |
| size | could not look — no source data | |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- —
- Fully diluted
- —
- 24h volume
- —
- Circulating
- —
- All-time high
- — · — (—)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.906 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.422
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-08-07 (441 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- unresolved
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources