Cryptex Finance CTX
CTX cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
67.9% below its 365-day high of $1.52 (2025-10-25), +82.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 10.7 daily-vol units over 20 days, 68% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +82.0% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.2692 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 10 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.2692 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 44% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 1r 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.2692 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 10 of median 5.0 (max 25)
- Current low
- $0.2692 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 35
Daily
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.5889 · 2026-10-06 (daily)
- Position
- 15 of median 5 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.4810 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.4968
- Cycle-low confidence
- 44% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 292
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2692 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 10. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.2692 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.5889 (2026-10-06), day 15 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.481 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.4968. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Red List: 68% below the 2025-10-25 high; +82% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +82% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.26 (neutral); -72% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.
Has Cryptex Finance bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the CTX snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2692 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2692 from 2026-08-16. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5889 from 2026-10-06. A newer candidate at $0.4810 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.4968, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Cryptex Finance below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 67.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.52 from 2025-10-25. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.9% relative to its all-time high of $44.13 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $7.81 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.2692 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.6% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +82.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.4000
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 13.87 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.05 x | 14.6 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1579 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.7 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $6.1M
- Fully diluted
- $6.5M
- 24h volume
- $852.8K
- Circulating
- 9,480,369 of 10,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $44.13 · 2021-09-13 (-98.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.262 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -71.8%
- Pi cycle
- 0.369
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-01-25 (1731 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- cryptex-finance
Continue your cycle research
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