Civic CVC
CVC cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
74.8% below its 365-day high of $0.0898 (2025-11-11), +39.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 9.0 daily-vol units over 20 days, 75% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +39.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0162 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.0162 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 34%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1g 1g 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0162 · 2026-08-23
- Position
- 9 of median 5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.0162 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 31% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 42
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0210 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.0210 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 26%
- Confirmed lows
- 334
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0162 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0162 (Aug 2026), week 9 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 31%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.021 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
- Red List: 75% below the 2025-11-11 high; +40% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 95% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +40% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.92 (cheap); -75% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.
Has Civic bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the CVC snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0162 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0162 from 2026-08-23. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0210 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Civic below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 74.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0898 from 2025-11-11. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.3% relative to its all-time high of $1.35 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.3300 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0162 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -95.1% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +39.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0212
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.15 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 719 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $29.6M
- Fully diluted
- $29.6M
- 24h volume
- $1.8M
- Circulating
- 1,000,000,000
- All-time high
- $1.35 · 2018-01-02 (-98.3%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.915 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -75.3%
- Pi cycle
- 0.355
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-11-03 (1814 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- civic
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources