Harvest Finance FARM
FARM cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
79.7% below its 365-day high of $35.99 (2025-11-06), +55.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 10.3 daily-vol units over 20 days, 80% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +55.6% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $4.70 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $4.70 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 40% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ur 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $4.78 · 2026-09-06
- Position
- 7 of median 4 (max 16)
- Current low
- $6.78 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $8.03
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 46
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $7.33 · 2026-10-05 (daily)
- Position
- 16 of median 5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $6.78 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $7.48
- Cycle-low confidence
- 58% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 342
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.70 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 4.78 (Sep 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 6.78 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 8.03. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 7.33 (2026-10-05), day 16 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 6.78 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 7.48. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
- Red List: 80% below the 2025-11-06 high; +56% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +56% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-13 (trigger 6.46).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.00 (neutral); -77% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Harvest Finance bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FARM snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $4.70 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $4.78 from 2026-09-06. A newer candidate at $6.78 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $8.03, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $7.33 from 2026-10-05. A newer candidate at $6.78 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $7.48, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Harvest Finance below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 79.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $35.99 from 2025-11-06. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.8% relative to its all-time high of $628.46 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $124.00 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $4.70 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.2% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +55.6%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $9.14
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $22.87 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $4.78 confirmed 2026-09-13 · trigger $6.46
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.73 % | 4.1 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.03 x | 14.8 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1687 # | 0 / 15 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 0.26 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.2 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $5.2M
- Fully diluted
- $5.4M
- 24h volume
- $90.9K
- Circulating
- 672,183 of 690,420 max
- All-time high
- $628.46 · 2020-09-01 (-98.8%)
- TVL
- $20.1M (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.005 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -76.6%
- Pi cycle
- 0.276
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-07-29 (1911 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- harvest-finance
Continue your cycle research
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