Ampleforth Governance FORTH
FORTH cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 50 mixed
90.4% below its 365-day high of $2.60 (2025-10-25), +65.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
90% below its rolling 365-day high, 361 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +65.1% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ur 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.1519 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 7 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.1519 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 60% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1g 2Dg 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1663 · 2026-08-23
- Position
- 9 of median 5.0 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.2110 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.4697
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 41
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2254 · 2026-10-17 (daily)
- Position
- 4 of median 5.0 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.2254 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33%
- Confirmed lows
- 369
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1519 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Cycle-low confidence 60%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1663 (Aug 2026), week 9 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.211 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.4697. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2254 (2026-10-17), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Red List: 90% below the 2025-10-25 high; +65% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +65% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-30.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.12 (neutral); -91% vs the 200-week average; -100% from the all-time high.
Has Ampleforth Governance bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FORTH snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1519 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1663 from 2026-08-23. A newer candidate at $0.2110 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.4697, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2254 from 2026-10-17. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Ampleforth Governance below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 90.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.60 from 2025-10-25. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.9% relative to its all-time high of $180.47 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $9.03 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.1519 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -98.3% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +65.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.3100
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $2.12 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.1663 confirmed 2026-08-30 · trigger $0.1989
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.87 % | 11.2 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.4 x | 12.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 2072 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.5 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $3.1M
- Fully diluted
- $4.3M
- 24h volume
- $118.7K
- Circulating
- 10,903,547
- All-time high
- $180.47 · 2021-04-21 (-99.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.123 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -90.6%
- Pi cycle
- 0.157
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-04-21 (2010 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- ampleforth-governance-token
Continue your cycle research
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