Helium HNT
HNT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Phoenix · weekly · score 40 mixed
83.8% below its 365-day high of $2.60 (2025-10-31), +152.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
84% below its rolling 365-day high, 355 days after the high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +152.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 1r 1r
- Confirmed low
- $2.09 · 2025-06-30
- Position
- 16 of median 4.5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.1670 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.9899
- Cycle-low confidence
- 92% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 1r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.3855 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.3908 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.4968
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 27
Daily
- Last bars
- 3g 2Dr 2Ug 2Dg 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.3963 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 38)
- Current low
- $0.3963 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 23%
- Confirmed lows
- 197
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.09 (Jun 2025), month 16 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.167 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.9899. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3855 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.3908 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.4968. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.3963 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 23%.
- Amber List: 84% below the 2025-10-31 high; +152% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 30 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +152% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.5713).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.82 (cheap); -96% from the all-time high.
Has Helium bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the HNT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.09 from 2025-06-30. A newer candidate at $0.1670 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.9899, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3855 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.3908 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.4968, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3963 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Helium below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 83.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.60 from 2025-10-31. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.2% relative to its all-time high of $54.88 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $11.16 · Feb 2024
- Trough
- $0.1670 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -98.5% over 30 months
- Above trough
- +152.4%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.9899
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.3855 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.5713
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 4.13 % | 12.1 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 299 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.3 yrs | 7.9 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $97.0M
- Fully diluted
- $97.0M
- 24h volume
- $4.0M
- Circulating
- 193,371,323 of 223,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $54.88 · 2021-11-12 (-99.2%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $0
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $2.3M
- Mayer multiple
- 0.824 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.186
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-07-12 (1198 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- helium
Continue your cycle research
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