Radworks RAD
RAD cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
48.3% below its 365-day high of $0.5400 (2025-10-22), +39.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules on 2026-10-20. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +39.5% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 1g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.2000 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.2000 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 13% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Ug 2Dr 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.2220 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.2600 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3560
- Cycle-low confidence
- 66% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 46
Daily
- Last bars
- 1r 1r 1g 2Dr 1
- Confirmed low
- $0.2600 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 25)
- Current low
- $0.2710 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2850
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33%
- Confirmed lows
- 321
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 13%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.222 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.26 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.356. Cycle-low confidence 66%.
- Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.26 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.271 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.285. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Watch: 48% below the 2025-10-22 high; +40% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 94% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +40% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.243).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.16 (neutral); -74% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Radworks bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RAD snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2000 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2220 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.2600 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3560, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2600 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.2710 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2850, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Radworks below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 48.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5400 from 2025-10-22. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.0% relative to its all-time high of $27.61 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $3.59 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.2000 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -94.4% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +39.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.2280
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.2100 · Mar 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.2220 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.2430
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 9.73 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.69 x | 9.8 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1022 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $15.4M
- Fully diluted
- $26.0M
- 24h volume
- $1.5M
- Circulating
- 59,075,979 of 100,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $27.61 · 2021-04-15 (-99.0%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.156 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -74.4%
- Pi cycle
- 0.464
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-09-01 (1877 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- radicle check
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources