DePIN · rank #581

Powerledger POWR

POWR cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0521+0.2% 1d-5.6% 7d-18.3% 30d

Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed

57.2% below its 365-day high of $0.1218 (2025-10-26), +50.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.03620.1150.36552024-052025-072026-10low 0.0346 (97%)monthly trigger 0.0561
Where it stands

On the Red List.

A crash of 9.1 daily-vol units over 20 days, 57% below its rolling 365-day high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +50.6% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0346 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 6 (max 12)
Current low
$0.0346 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
42% · in band
Confirmed lows
10

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0346 · 2026-08-16
Position
10 of median 5.0 (max 15)
Current low
$0.0483 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0612
Cycle-low confidence
52% · in band
Confirmed lows
43

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0483 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 20)
Current low
$0.0483 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
53%
Confirmed lows
330
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0346 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0346 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0483 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0612. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0483 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 53%.
  • Red List: 57% below the 2025-10-26 high; +51% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 97% decline over 31 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +51% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.0483; it confirms above 0.0612.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.97 (cheap); -71% vs the 200-week average; -95% from the all-time high.

Has Powerledger bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the POWR snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0346 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0346 from 2026-08-16. A newer candidate at $0.0483 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0612, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0483 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Powerledger below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 57.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1218 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.2% relative to its all-time high of $1.89 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  3. First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$1.30 · Jan 2024
Trough
$0.0346 · Aug 2026
Decline
-97.3% over 31 months
Above trough
+50.6%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0561
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
forming at $0.0483 · confirms above $0.0612
Score 55
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health42 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
1.71 %4.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.76 x9.3 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
581 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.9 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$39.2M
Fully diluted
$68.9M
24h volume
$669.3K
Circulating
568,401,106 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$1.89 · 2018-01-06 (-97.2%)
Mayer multiple
0.967 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-70.9%
Pi cycle
0.386
On Coinbase since
2021-11-16 (1798 bars)
CoinGecko id
power-ledger

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources