MATH MATH
MATH cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
70.8% below its 365-day high of $0.0788 (2025-11-13), +22.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
71% below its rolling 365-day high, 342 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +22.3% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0188 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 8.0 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.0188 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 35%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 1g 3r 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0199 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.0230 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0272
- Cycle-low confidence
- 42% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 31
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dg 2Ur 2D 2U 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0230 · 2026-10-19 (daily)
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 29)
- Current low
- $0.0230 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 17%
- Confirmed lows
- 264
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0188 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0199 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.023 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0272. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.023 (2026-10-19), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 17%.
- Amber List: 71% below the 2025-11-13 high; +22% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +22% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.0235).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.92 (cheap); -83% vs the 200-week average; -97% from the all-time high.
Has MATH bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MATH snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0188 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0199 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0230 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0272, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0230 from 2026-10-19. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is MATH below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 70.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0788 from 2025-11-13. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.3% relative to its all-time high of $3.15 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.8580 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $0.0188 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -97.8% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +22.3%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0315
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0199 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0235
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.28 % | 2.6 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.05 x | 14.6 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1744 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $4.8M
- Fully diluted
- $5.1M
- 24h volume
- $62.0K
- Circulating
- 190,630,131 of 200,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $3.15 · 2021-03-20 (-99.3%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.917 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -82.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.388
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-06-22 (1583 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- math
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources