Crypto · rank #507

Magic Eden ME

ME cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0618+0.3% 1d-3.8% 7d-16.7% 30d

Red List mixed

90.0% below its 365-day high of $0.6210 (2025-10-27), +11.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.05640.56465.652024-122025-112026-10high 0.621low 0.0555
Where it stands

On the Red List.

90% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 3

Last bars
2Dr 1g 1g 2Ug 3r
Confirmed low
$0.7100 · 2025-04-30
Position
18 of median ? (max ?)
Current low
$0.0555 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0868
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
1

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0595 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 7.0 (max 18)
Current low
$0.0571 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0752
Cycle-low confidence
79% · in band
Confirmed lows
13

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.0582 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
Position
1 of median 5 (max 17)
Current low
$0.0571 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
52%
Confirmed lows
124
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red outside bar (3). Last confirmed swing low 0.71 (Apr 2025). Current low 0.0555 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0868.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.05952 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.05706 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.07522. Cycle-low confidence 79%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.05821 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
  • Red List: 90% below the 2025-10-27 high; +11% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.81 (cheap); -99% from the all-time high.

Has Magic Eden bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ME snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.7100 from 2025-04-30. A newer candidate at $0.0555 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0868, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0595 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0571 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0752, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0582 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Magic Eden below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 90.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.6210 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.6% relative to its all-time high of $17.00 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Red List

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health42 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
10.58 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.61 x10.4 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
507 #0 / 15
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
321.57 x0.0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.9 yrs3.9 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$47.9M
Fully diluted
$77.3M
24h volume
$5.1M
Circulating
620,078,184 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$17.00 · 2024-12-10 (-99.6%)
TVL
$149.1K (protocol)
Fees 30d
—
Revenue 30d
—
Fees 1y
—
Mayer multiple
0.811 · cheap
Pi cycle
0.244
On Coinbase since
2024-12-10 (681 bars)
CoinGecko id
magic-eden

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources