Marinade MNDE
MNDE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 50 mixed
77.8% below its 365-day high of $0.1162 (2025-10-27), +50.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
78% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +50.2% above the Mar 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Ug 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0181 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 3 (max 7)
- Current low
- $0.0172 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 88% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3g 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0184 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.0184 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33%
- Confirmed lows
- 26
Daily
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1
- Confirmed low
- $0.0256 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.0253 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0261
- Cycle-low confidence
- 40%
- Confirmed lows
- 235
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01814 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 88%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0184 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02565 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.02529 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.02615. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
- Amber List: 78% below the 2025-10-27 high; +50% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (6 bars)), now +50% above the trough; pullback #5 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.28 (neutral); -74% vs the 200-week average; -95% from the all-time high.
Has Marinade bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MNDE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0181 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0184 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0256 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.0253 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0261, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Marinade below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 77.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1162 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.4% relative to its all-time high of $1.64 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Red List · Phoenix weekly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Red List → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Red List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.6850 · Dec 2023
- Trough
- $0.0172 · Mar 2026
- Decline
- -97.5% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +50.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (6 bars)) · trigger $0.0240
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.0735 · Apr 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #5 low $0.0184 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0191
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 14.82 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.28 x | 12.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1094 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.0 yrs | 9.9 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $13.4M
- Fully diluted
- $17.2M
- 24h volume
- $2.0M
- Circulating
- 546,399,977 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $1.64 · 2021-10-08 (-98.4%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.279 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -74.1%
- Pi cycle
- 0.35
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-11-03 (1449 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- marinade
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources