Crypto

Marinade staked SOL MSOL

$147.94+2.8% 1d+3.6% 7d+44.0% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 58.5 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 82.16 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
  • Weekly: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 98.59 (Aug 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 136.50 (2026-09-02), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
  • Watch: 56% below the 2025-09-18 high; +80% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 77% decline over 17 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +80% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-09.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.30 (neutral); +7% vs the 200-week average; -55% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
87.44169.69329.322024-122025-102026-09peak 358.00low 82.16 (77%)false bottommonthly trigger 119.13

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ur 2Dr 1r 3g 1g
Confirmed low
$82.16 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 3 (max 10)
Current low
$82.16 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
32%
Confirmed lows
10

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$98.59 · 2026-08-02
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 18)
Current low
$98.59 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
32% · in band
Confirmed lows
35

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$136.50 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
4 of median 5 (max 17)
Current low
$136.50 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
32% · in band
Confirmed lows
250

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$358.00 · Jan 2025
Trough
$82.16 · Jun 2026
Decline
-77.1% over 17 months
Above trough
+80.1%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $119.13
Weekly
confirmed (late (11 bars))
False bottom
$164.87 · Jun 2025 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #2 low $98.59 confirmed 2026-08-09 · trigger $107.21
Score 58.5
decline23.5
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health96 / 100 · Strong
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
3.8 yrs9.6 / 10
liquiditycould not look — no source data
overhangcould not look — no source data
sizecould not look — no source data
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
Fully diluted
24h volume
Circulating
All-time high
— · — (—)
Mayer multiple
1.302 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
+7.0%
Pi cycle
0.368
On Coinbase since
2022-11-03 (1404 bars)
CoinGecko id
unresolved