Crypto
Marinade staked SOL MSOL
$147.94+2.8% 1d+3.6% 7d+44.0% 30d
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 58.5 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 82.16 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Weekly: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 98.59 (Aug 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 136.50 (2026-09-02), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Watch: 56% below the 2025-09-18 high; +80% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 77% decline over 17 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +80% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-08-09.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.30 (neutral); +7% vs the 200-week average; -55% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Dr 1r 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $82.16 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 3 (max 10)
- Current low
- $82.16 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 32%
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $98.59 · 2026-08-02
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $98.59 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 32% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 35
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $136.50 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
- Position
- 4 of median 5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $136.50 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 32% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 250
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $358.00 · Jan 2025
- Trough
- $82.16 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -77.1% over 17 months
- Above trough
- +80.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $119.13
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (11 bars))
- False bottom
- $164.87 · Jun 2025 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $98.59 confirmed 2026-08-09 · trigger $107.21
Score 58.5
| decline | 23.5 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health96 / 100 · Strong
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.8 yrs | 9.6 / 10 |
| liquidity | could not look — no source data | |
| overhang | could not look — no source data | |
| size | could not look — no source data | |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
1 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- —
- Fully diluted
- —
- 24h volume
- —
- Circulating
- —
- All-time high
- — · — (—)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.302 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +7.0%
- Pi cycle
- 0.368
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-11-03 (1404 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- unresolved