Polkastarter POLS
POLS cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held Phoenix · weekly · score 35 mixed
65.6% below its 365-day high of $0.1800 (2025-10-27), +28.9% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +28.9% above the May 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 3g 1g 3r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0481 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 7.0 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.0481 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1700
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 3r 3r 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0586 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.0538 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0790
- Cycle-low confidence
- 61% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 37
Daily
- Last bars
- 2D 3r 1g 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0587 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 25)
- Current low
- $0.0598 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0630
- Cycle-low confidence
- 20%
- Confirmed lows
- 309
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red outside bar (3). Last confirmed swing low 0.0481 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.0481 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.17. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0586 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Current low 0.0538 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.079. Cycle-low confidence 61%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0587 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0598 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.063. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Red List: 66% below the 2025-10-27 high; +29% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +29% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.99 (cheap); -81% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Polkastarter bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the POLS snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0481 from 2026-08-31. A newer candidate at $0.0481 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1700, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0586 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0538 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0790, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0587 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.0598 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0630, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Polkastarter below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 65.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1800 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.2% relative to its all-time high of $7.51 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.41 · Dec 2023
- Trough
- $0.0481 · May 2026
- Decline
- -96.6% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +28.9%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.1700
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.1644 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0586 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0642
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.44 % | 3.1 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.01 x | 14.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1550 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.9 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $6.5M
- Fully diluted
- $6.6M
- 24h volume
- $94.1K
- Circulating
- 99,209,632 of 100,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $7.51 · 2021-02-16 (-99.2%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 0.994 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -81.1%
- Pi cycle
- 0.423
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-12-07 (1780 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- polkastarter
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources