SuperRare RARE
RARE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 47.5 mixed
63.5% below its 365-day high of $0.0379 (2025-11-08), +27.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 10.5 daily-vol units over 20 days, 64% below its rolling 365-day high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +27.1% above the Sep 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 3g 3g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0136 · 2026-03-31
- Position
- 7 of median 9 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.0109 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0255
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0109 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.0109 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 20%
- Confirmed lows
- 36
Daily
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0153 · 2026-10-07 (daily)
- Position
- 14 of median 4.5 (max 26)
- Current low
- $0.0128 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0141
- Cycle-low confidence
- 56% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 285
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0136 (Mar 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Current low 0.0109 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.02549. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0109 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01529 (2026-10-07), day 14 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.01278 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.01406. Cycle-low confidence 56%.
- Red List: 64% below the 2025-11-08 high; +27% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 25 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +27% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.97 (cheap); -82% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.
Has SuperRare bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RARE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0136 from 2026-03-31. A newer candidate at $0.0109 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0255, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0109 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0153 from 2026-10-07. A newer candidate at $0.0128 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0141, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is SuperRare below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 63.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0379 from 2025-11-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.6% relative to its all-time high of $3.64 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- Amber List → Amber List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Amber List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.3485 · Aug 2024
- Trough
- $0.0109 · Sep 2026
- Decline
- -96.9% over 25 months
- Above trough
- +27.1%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.0255
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 7.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 46.66 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.22 x | 13.4 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1067 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.2 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $14.1M
- Fully diluted
- $17.2M
- 24h volume
- $6.6M
- Circulating
- 820,475,028 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $3.64 · 2021-10-10 (-99.6%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 0.975 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -82.2%
- Pi cycle
- 0.383
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-08-02 (1542 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- superrare
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources