Sperax SPA
SPA cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
73.7% below its 365-day high of $0.0102 (2025-10-31), +46.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
74% below its rolling 365-day high, 355 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +46.0% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00184 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.00184 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 36% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Dr 1r 2Dg
- Confirmed low
- $0.00202 · 2026-09-13
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.00202 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 30
Daily
- Last bars
- 1g 2Dr 1r 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0026 · 2026-10-14 (daily)
- Position
- 7 of median 5.0 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.00259 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00271
- Cycle-low confidence
- 49% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 221
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.001843 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 36%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.002016 (Sep 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.002603 (2026-10-14), day 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.002594 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.002706. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
- Amber List: 74% below the 2025-10-31 high; +46% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 95% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +46% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-20 (trigger 0.002254).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.06 (neutral); -93% from the all-time high.
Has Sperax bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SPA snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00184 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00202 from 2026-09-13. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0026 from 2026-10-14. A newer candidate at $0.00259 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00271, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Sperax below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 73.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0102 from 2025-10-31. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.9% relative to its all-time high of $0.2395 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0400 · Feb 2025
- Trough
- $0.00184 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -95.4% over 18 months
- Above trough
- +46.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00264
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.00202 confirmed 2026-09-20 · trigger $0.00225
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.97 % | 11.6 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.59 x | 3.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1662 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.5 yrs | 8.5 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $5.4M
- Fully diluted
- $14.1M
- 24h volume
- $216.0K
- Circulating
- 1,912,749,169 of 5,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.2395 · 2022-03-23 (-98.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.056 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.352
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-05-03 (1268 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- sperax
Continue your cycle research
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